They're Back....Multiple Offers in the San Diego Housing Market

While the medium home prices in San Diego County may be climbing slower than in 2003 in, due to the uncertainty of the economy, the bidding atmosphere with Multiple Offers is back.

As the inventory of homes decreases below the normal 6 months of inventory in most areas of San Diego County to 2-to-3 months and the number of buyers increased 10%, compared to a year ago, the competition for good homes is driving buyers into a competetive bidding frenzy. Buyers are making offers on multiple properties, and sellers in the lower end of the housing market are getting multiple competing offers.

"My goal is to get a house this year," said one of my serious first time home buyers. Many are racing towards that goal before the $8,000 Tax Credit expires, before the giant carrot disappears from underneathe their noses April 30th. To add to the mix, the government added in a $6500 tax credit for repeat buyers. And then there are the investors buying while prices are low.

Sellers and banks are looking for the cash to back up those rising offers, should the appraisal not come in and the buyer may have to pay more cash to make up the difference.

So what are buyers to do?

1. Lite Fixer. Look for a home that may not be perfect. Look for the potential in a home. Cosmetic repairs can always be done one at a time. Look beyond the stained carpet and scuffs on the walls. Ask the seller to help with your closing costs so that you can use that money to replace the carpet and paint. Also, the tax credit can be used in the near future for needed repairs or updating. But beware, avoid homes that require too many "honey do's" unless you have lots of money to sink into the home. Watch "The Money Pit" with Tom Hanks and Shelley Long before jumping into a home with lots of issues.

2. Buy Low. Buy a home below your means, below your maximum preapproved price, so that you have room to bid up. While you think you are doing good by giving the seller his asking price, multiple offers pushes the price upward and you may need room to meet that higher price.

3. Be Realistic. Most importantly, listen to your Realtor's advice and be realistic. Listing agents toss the low ball offers aside, unless you have "all cash" for a quicker sale. Know what the comparable homes are running in the area and plan to make a fair market value offer.

For more tips on being a successful buyer in this challenging market, read 5 Tips How FHA and VA Buyers Can Succeed

--Virginia Hall
ABR®, CRS®, e-Pro®, GRI®
"2009 & 2010 FIVE STAR Real Estate Agent(SM)”.
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage
Direct (619)258-8585

Cautious, but Good News for the San Diego Housing Market in 2010

With prices up 6.6% in San Diego County, the medium priced home now $325,000, and the number of homes sold up 18% compared to one year ago, it is fair to say that San Diego County is in a stabilizing market. Just last week appraiser, Leon Crowell, confirmed, "We can no longer say we are in a declining market. "

While some are cautiously optomistic about the unemployment rate improving from 10.7% in October, the highest rate since the Great Depression, to 10.3% in November. According to Chrisopher Thornberg, who was one of the first economists to forecast a major recession, said the recession has hit it peak. "All the data shows that the U.S. economy has more or less bottomed out. We should only be surprised if unemployment wasn't peaking. The bigger issue is how fast of a recovery we're going to see," said Thornberg, who works for Beacon Economics in Los Angeles.

Coupled with the news that foreclosures rates are dropping. According to the MDA DataQuick, San Diego County Foreclosures by all lenders totaled 11,393 from January to October was down from 15,414 for the same period last year. The reduction continues, the number of foreclosures in October 2009 numbered 1,346 dropping 4.7% to 1,283 in November. Some believe under government pressure and incentives, banks are delaying or canceling foreclosures while working with home owners to modify their loans or arrange for short sales.

In the short term, the reduction in foreclosures and the reduction in unemployment could help stabilize the economy and housing market, prompting homeowners with equity, not in distress, to sell and buy another home. Some believe that many owners will still hold back because of loss in value compared to a few years ago. Since 2006, prices tumbled as a result of many homes being lost to foreclosures. But as one of my wise sellers recently said, this is the time to sell and move up because "while my home value has fallen, I will get a better deal on my new home and 10 years from now, the home I am buying will be worth much more in proportion."

So while I agree with Thornberg, the question is how quickly the recovery will occur, it does seem there is hope on the horizon.

--Virginia Hall
ABR®, CRS®, e-Pro®, GRI®
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage
Direct (619)258-8585
DRE#01409760

What Happened to All the Houses on the MLS?

Frustrated agents and buyers cheer the new change at Sandicor, the San Diego County area multiple listing service (MLS). As a result of a change that occurred on 5/20/09 , about a third to one-half of the homes that were listed as "Active" moved to a new category titled "Contingent" overnight. This will eliminate the frustration of many buyers who find the perfect home only to find out it has multiple offers on it.

Before Wednesday, these homes showed actively listed, while indeed they were not available for offers. However, listing agents were unable to move them to "Pending" until the bank officially approved the offers. Agents seemed to be at odds with each other due to the added work to find truly available properties.

The reduction in the number of available homes will certainly seal the changing tide of the Housing Market, that many agents and buyers have been feeling already. The inventory of homes for sale has gone from about 3 1/2 months in San Diego County to about 2 months. While it is uncertain because of the economy, the law of supply and demand should cause the 2009 Housing Prices to slowly climb.

Although interests rates are still low and first time home buyers have lots of great incentives to take advantage of, including the items in the Economic Stimulus Package that can be found in my blogs Grab That Golden Housing Ring! and the Mortgage Protection Program outlined in
Buy Today with Recession Proof Plans.

--Virginia Hall

Unleashing the Economic Stimulus Package on the Housing Market

Last week, Buyers asked me excited about the $15,000 Home Buyers' tax credit. Wouldn't that give the housing market a shot in the arm?

However in regards to the Economic Stimulus Package and the Home Buyer Tax Credit, the New York Times reported vaguely, "In driving down the total cost — from $838 billion for the Senate stimulus bill and $820 billion for the House-passed measure — lawmakers also reduced the Senate’s proposed tax incentives for buyers of homes and cars, which hold big public appeal." So it appears it will be a bit before we find out the rest of the story, the exact amount of the credit.

So while we wait for the details on how much Buyers will get, the government has already previously passed a nice incentive for qualified first time home buyers--at least $7500 in tax credits if you buy before July 1st. So while Interest rates are down, what are you waiting for? If you plan to stay in San Diego, now is the time. Time to get a hold of a qualified Realtor®, such as myself, to start a search.

Homes in good condition are already getting multiple offers in San Diego County. Once they unleash the full details of the Economic Stimulus Bill and expose the exact amount of the credit, the smart people who have been sitting on their money waiting for the housing market to bottom out will act, investing their money and getting back a tax credit, to boot. Don't get left behind. Why not join them?

--Virginia Hall